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These materials describe research and reference methods; they are not investment advice, product offers, or statements of current product availability.

Publications

Debt-Free Finality for Leveraged Binary Event Markets

A mechanism-design study of physically backed leveraged binary-event positions that separates financing maturity from event settlement.arXiv · Research repository

On-Chain Credit and Loss Allocation for Leveraged Event Markets

Research on credit pools, backstop capital, withdrawal queues, and deterministic loss allocation.arXiv · Research repository

Empirical Calibration of Venue-Agnostic Event-Margin Protocols

A prospectively specified calibration analysis plan and venue-emulator methodology.SSRN · Research repository

AEMB: A Deterministic Cross-Language Verification Benchmark for Event-Margin Protocols

A deterministic benchmark for cross-language conformance and verification.SSRN · Benchmark repository · Mendeley Data

AVET: A Provenance-Aware Venue Emulator Trace Dataset for Event Markets

A provenance-aware deterministic trace dataset for prediction-market research.SSRN · Dataset repository · Mendeley Data
The research repository provides the publication index and public reproducibility materials.